Exam 2: The Evolution of Global Politics

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Why does Mandelbaum believe the post-Cold War peace ended?

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Michael Mandelbaum, an American foreign policy expert, has written extensively on international relations and the dynamics of the post-Cold War world. While I cannot provide a direct quote or a specific reference to Mandelbaum's beliefs without more context, I can offer a general perspective on why scholars like Mandelbaum might believe that the post-Cold War peace has ended.

The post-Cold War era began with the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, which marked the end of the bipolar world order that had been dominated by the United States and the Soviet Union. This period was initially characterized by a sense of optimism and the hope for a more peaceful international system, with the United States emerging as the sole superpower.

However, several developments over the past few decades may have led scholars like Mandelbaum to conclude that this period of relative peace has ended:

1. **Rise of New Powers**: The emergence of new global powers, such as China and India, has introduced new dynamics into international relations. China's rapid economic growth and military expansion have particularly challenged the U.S.-led order, leading to strategic competition and tensions in areas like the South China Sea.

2. **Resurgence of Russia**: Under the leadership of Vladimir Putin, Russia has sought to reassert its influence on the global stage, often in opposition to Western interests. This has been evident in actions such as the annexation of Crimea in 2014, military intervention in Syria, and allegations of meddling in the elections of other countries.

3. **Terrorism and Non-State Actors**: The rise of terrorism, particularly after the September 11 attacks in 2001, has introduced a new kind of threat that transcends national borders. Non-state actors like al-Qaeda and ISIS have demonstrated the ability to cause significant instability and conflict.

4. **Regional Conflicts**: The post-Cold War period has seen a number of regional conflicts that have challenged the notion of a peaceful world order. These include wars in the Middle East, such as the Iraq War and the ongoing Syrian Civil War, as well as conflicts in Africa and Asia.

5. **Erosion of International Norms**: There has been a perceived erosion of international norms and institutions that were established to maintain peace and security. This includes challenges to the authority of the United Nations and other international bodies, as well as disregard for international law by some states.

6. **Nationalism and Populism**: The rise of nationalism and populism in various parts of the world has led to a retreat from global cooperation and a focus on narrow national interests. This trend has been evident in events such as Brexit and the America First policies of the Trump administration.

7. **Technological and Cyber Threats**: The digital age has brought new challenges in the form of cyber threats, which can disrupt economies, influence elections, and undermine security. The cyber domain has become a new arena for state and non-state actors to engage in conflict.

Mandelbaum and other scholars may argue that these developments have collectively contributed to the end of the post-Cold War peace, leading to a more fragmented, unpredictable, and potentially conflict-prone international system. It's important to note that these are broad trends and interpretations, and different experts may emphasize different factors or have varying perspectives on the state of global peace and security.

Woodrow Wilson's Fourteen Points included a call for which of the following?

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Why did the Cold War end?

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The end of the Cold War was the result of a combination of factors that unfolded over several years, leading to a dramatic shift in international relations and the conclusion of the decades-long standoff between the United States and the Soviet Union. Here are some of the key reasons why the Cold War ended:

1. **Economic Stagnation in the Soviet Union**: By the 1980s, the Soviet economy was in a state of severe stagnation. The centralized, planned economy failed to keep up with technological advancements and was burdened by heavy military spending. This economic strain made it increasingly difficult for the USSR to maintain its superpower status and compete with the West.

2. **Reform Policies of Mikhail Gorbachev**: When Mikhail Gorbachev became the leader of the Soviet Union in 1985, he introduced significant reforms under the policies of glasnost (openness) and perestroika (restructuring). These policies aimed to liberalize the Soviet Union's political landscape and reinvigorate its economy, but they also led to a loosening of the government's control over the populace and the satellite states in Eastern Europe.

3. **Rise of Popular Movements in Eastern Europe**: The relaxation of Soviet control encouraged a surge of nationalist and democratic movements in Eastern Bloc countries. Throughout the late 1980s, countries such as Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and East Germany saw mass protests and demands for reform. The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 became a symbol of the collapse of communist control in Eastern Europe.

4. **Arms Race Pressures**: The arms race between the US and the USSR had placed an enormous financial burden on both countries, but it was particularly unsustainable for the Soviet economy. The introduction of the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) by US President Ronald Reagan, also known as "Star Wars," further escalated the financial pressure on the USSR to keep up with American military spending.

5. **Diplomatic Efforts and Treaties**: Throughout the 1980s, there were several key arms control agreements, such as the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in 1987, which helped reduce the tension between the superpowers. These treaties were a result of negotiations and a mutual desire to avoid nuclear confrontation.

6. **Changes in Leadership and Ideology**: The ascension of reform-minded leaders in the Soviet Union and the Eastern Bloc, along with a shift in ideology towards more open and democratic governance, played a crucial role in the Cold War's conclusion. The old guard of hardline communist leaders was gradually replaced by more progressive individuals who were open to change.

7. **Internal Disintegration of the Soviet Union**: The combination of economic troubles, political reforms, and the rise of nationalist movements within the Soviet Union itself led to its eventual disintegration. In 1991, after a failed coup attempt by hardline communists, the Soviet Union officially dissolved, and 15 independent republics emerged in its place.

8. **The Role of International Relations**: The end of the Cold War was also influenced by improved relations between the Soviet Union and the West, particularly the United States. Leaders like Gorbachev and Reagan, and later George H.W. Bush, engaged in direct dialogue and negotiations, which helped to ease hostilities and pave the way for a more cooperative international environment.

In summary, the end of the Cold War was not the result of a single event but rather a series of interconnected developments that included economic challenges, political reforms, social upheavals, diplomatic negotiations, and the eventual collapse of the Soviet Union. The culmination of these factors led to a new era in global politics, marked by the absence of the bipolar rivalry that had defined the world order for nearly half a century.

Give three reasons for optimism about the prospects for future conflict or cooperation in East Asia.

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Will the rise of China cause cooperation or conflict? Why?

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Article 231 of the Versailles Treaty, which assigned _______ to Germany for causing World War I, was used to justify reparations.

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In the case of World War I, "total war" meant

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In what year did the Cuban Missile Crisis take place?

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Which leader displeased Russians with a foreign policy that was regarded as too conciliatory toward their capitalist former adversaries?

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What is the name of one scholar who says the relatively peaceful period of post-Cold War peace is coming to an end and what does that scholar say is the cause?

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What are two explanations for World War I, and which authors proposed them?

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Sovereignty promised

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Define glasnost and perestroika.

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Which term best describes the balance of power in the years immediately after the end of the Cold War?

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The text asserts that the effects of _______ helped to end the era of European colonialism.

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How is globalization likely to change the principles of international society? The institutions?

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Why was transitioning to a market economy difficult for Russia?

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Prior to the invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941, why did German military forces attack in the Balkans and North Africa?

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Closer East Asian integration began in 1967 with the formation of what organization?

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At which international summit did the leaders of France and the United Kingdom acquiesce to Germany's demands for territorial concessions from Czechoslovakia?

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