Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

The sampling error can either be positive or negative.

TABLE 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics. An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program. They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7. This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Table 8-3, the confidence interval will be based on ________ degrees of freedom.

TABLE 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product. She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product. She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -Referring to Table 8-6, it is possible that the true proportion of people that recognize the product is between 0.36 and 0.54.

When determining the sample size necessary for estimating the true population mean, which factor is not considered when sampling with replacement?

Suppose a 95% confidence interval for μ turns out to be (1,000, 2,100). To make more useful inferences from the data, it is desired to reduce the width of the confidence interval. Which of the following will result in a reduced interval width?

TABLE 8-10 The president of a university is concerned that illicit drug use on campus is higher than the 5% targeted level. A random sample of 250 students from a population of 2,000 revealed that 7 of them had used illicit drugs during the last 12 months. -Referring to Table 8-10, what is the upper bound of the 90% one-sided confidence interval for the proportion of students who had used illicit drugs during the last 12 months?

TABLE 8-13 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey of salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-13, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report.

TABLE 8-4 The actual voltages of power packs labeled as 12 volts are as follows: 11.77, 11.90, 11.64, 11.84, 12.13, 11.99, and 11.77. -Referring to Table 8-4, it is possible that the 99% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the mean voltage for the sample.

TABLE 8-11 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "No." -Referring to Table 8-11, it is possible that the 99% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the proportion of student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

Given a sample mean of 2.1 and a population standard deviation of 0.7 from a sample of 10 data points, a 90% confidence interval will have a width of 2.36.

TABLE 8-7 A hotel chain wants to estimate the mean number of rooms rented daily in a given month. The population of rooms rented daily is assumed to be normally distributed for each month with a standard deviation of 24 rooms. During February, a sample of 25 days has a sample mean of 37 rooms. -Referring to Table 8-7, the parameter of interest is the mean number of rooms rented daily in a given month.

Suppose a department store wants to estimate the mean age of the customers of its contemporary apparel department, correct to within 2 years, with level of confidence equal to 95%. Management believes that the standard deviation is 8 years. The sample size they should take is ________.

TABLE 8-2 A quality control engineer is interested in the mean length of sheet insulation being cut automatically by machine. The desired mean length of the insulation is 12 feet. It is known that the standard deviation in the cutting length is 0.15 feet. A sample of 70 cut sheets yields a mean length of 12.14 feet. This sample will be used to obtain a 99% confidence interval for the mean length cut by machine. -Referring to Table 8-2, the confidence interval is valid only if the lengths cut are normally distributed.

As an aid to the establishment of personnel requirements, the director of a hospital wishes to estimate the mean number of people who are admitted to the emergency room during a 24-hour period. The director randomly selects 64 different 24-hour periods and determines the number of admissions for each. For this sample, X = 19.8 and S = 5. Which of the following assumptions is necessary in order for a confidence interval to be valid?

The sample mean is a point estimate of the population mean.

The t distribution

TABLE 8-11 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "No." -Referring to Table 8-11, a 99% confidence interval will contain 99% of the student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

Suppose a 95% confidence interval for μ turns out to be (1,000, 2,100). Give a definition of what it means to be "95% confident" as an inference.

TABLE 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics. An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program. They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7. This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Table 8-3, the mean of the sample is ________, while the standard deviation of the sample is ________.

TABLE 8-13 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey of salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-13, the sampling error of a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report is ________.