Exam 4: Probability

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Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value. -"You have a 50-50 chance of choosing the correct answer."

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Solve the problem. -A pollster wants to minimize the effect the order of the questions has on a person's response to a survey. How many different surveys are required to cover all possible arrangements if there are 5 questions on the survey?

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Provide an appropriate response. -Discuss the range of possible values for probabilities. Give examples to support each.

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A sample of 4 different calculators is randomly selected from a group containing 15 that are defective and 30 that have no defects. What is the probability that at least one of the calculators is defective?

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Answer the question -Find the odds against correctly guessing the answer to a multiple choice question with 4 possible answers.

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Solve the problem. -There are 8 members on a board of directors. If they must form a subcommittee of 5 members, how many different subcommittees are possible?

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Provide an appropriate response. - 138\frac { 13 } { 8 } On an exam on probability concepts, Sue had an answer of for one problem. Explain how she knew that this result was incorrect.

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Find the indicated probability -Find the probability of correctly answering the first 2 questions on a multiple choice test if random guesses are made and each question has 3 possible answers.

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Use a graphing calculator to develop a simulation of the given problem (100 trials). Describe the simulation, then estimate the probability based on its results. -The probability of getting at least two boys in a family of seven children.

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Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -A study of consumer smoking habits includes 168 people in the 18-22 age bracket (48 of whom smoke), 131 people in the 23-30 age bracket (36 of whom smoke), and 99 people in the 31-40 age bracket (28 of whom smoke). If one person is randomly selected from this sample, find the probability of getting someone who is age 18-22 or does not smoke.

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Find the indicated probability. -A: A Chicagoan visits New York on vacation. B: He visits Central Park.

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Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -100 employees of a company are asked how they get to work and whether they work full time or part time. The figure below shows the results. If one of the 100 employees is randomly selected, find the probability of getting someone who carpools or someone who works full time. Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -100 employees of a company are asked how they get to work and whether they work full time or part time. The figure below shows the results. If one of the 100 employees is randomly selected, find the probability of getting someone who carpools or someone who works full time.   1. Public transportation: 9 full time, 6 part time 2. Bicycle: 4 full time, 5 part time 3. Drive alone: 31 full time, 30 part time 4. Carpool: 7 full time, 8 part time 1. Public transportation: 9 full time, 6 part time 2. Bicycle: 4 full time, 5 part time 3. Drive alone: 31 full time, 30 part time 4. Carpool: 7 full time, 8 part time

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Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -If P(A)=1011\mathrm { P } ( \mathrm { A } ) = \frac { 10 } { 11 } , find P(A‾)\mathrm { P } ( \overline { \mathrm { A } } ) .

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11 wrestlers compete in a competition. If each wrestler wrestles one match with each other wrestler, what are the total numbers of matches?

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In a blood testing procedure, blood samples from 5 people are combined into one mixture. The mixture will only test negative if all the individual samples are negative. If the probability that an individual sample tests positive is 0.09, what is the probability that the mixture will test positive?

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Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -A sample of 100 wood and 100 graphite tennis rackets are taken from the warehouse. If 5 wood and 10 graphite are defective and one racket is randomly selected from the sample, find the probability that the racket is wood or defective.

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Determine whether the events are mutually exclusive. -The table below describes the smoking habits of a group of asthma sufferers. Occasional Regular Heavy Nonsmoker smoker smoker smoker Total Men 370 45 61 39 515 Women 443 39 84 38 604 Total 813 84 145 77 1119 If one of the 1119 people is randomly selected, find the probability of getting a regular or heavy smoker.

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Provide an appropriate response. -Describe an event whose probability of occurring is 1 and explain what that probability means. Describe an event whose probability of occurring is 0 and explain what that probability means.

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Find the indicated probability -A sample space consists of 13 separate events that are equally likely. What is the probability of each?

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Provide a written description of the complement of the given event. -When several textbooks are returned from editing, none of the books are found to be errorless.

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