Exam 4: Probability

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Which of the following statements is not true?

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The probability of a randomly selected car crashing during a year is 0.0423 (based on data from the Statistical Abstract of the United States). If a family has three cars, find the probability that at least one of them has a crash during the year. Is there any reason why this probability might be wrong?

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A firm uses trend projection and seasonal factors to simulate sales for a given time period. It assigns "0" if sales fall, "1" if sales are steady, "2" if sales rise moderately, and "3" if sales rise a lot. The simulator generates the following output. 0102200123202022123122203002121 Estimate the probability that sales will rise at least moderately.

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When 100 engines are shipped, all of them are free of defects. Select a written description of the complement of the given event.

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Refer to the table which summarizes the results of testing for a certain disease Positive Test Result Negative Test Result Subject has the disease 87 9 Subject does not have the disease 27 312 A test subject is randomly selected and tested for the disease. What is the probability the subject has the disease given that the test result is negative?

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A 6-sided die is rolled. Find P(3 or 5).

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Determine whether the events are disjoint. Finding a ten dollar bill on the sidewalk. Finding a ten dollar bill on the grass.

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Select the correct interpretation of the probability of getting an 11 when a pair of dice is rolled. Interpret an event as significant if its probability is less than or equal to 0.05.

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Discuss the range of possible values for probabilities. Give examples to support this

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Evaluate the expression. 10P3{ } _ { 10 } P _ { 3 }

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A multiple choice question has 18 possible answers, only one of which is correct. "significant" to answer a question correctly if a random guess is made? Consider an event to be "significant" if its probability is less than or equal to 0.05.

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In one town, 66% of adults have health insurance. What is the probability that 4 adults selected at random from the town all have health insurance? Round to the nearest thousandth if necessary.

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Given that the following statement is incorrect, rewrite it correctly: "The probability of being born a boy is 50-50."

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In a certain class of students, there are 11 boys from Wilmette, 7 girls from Wilmette, 5 boys from Winnetka, 4 girls from Winnetka, 4 boys from Glencoe, and 4 girls from Glencoe. If the teacher calls upon a student to answer a question, what is the probability that the student will Be a boy?

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Use technology to develop a simulation of the given problem (100 trials). simulation, then estimate the probability based on its results. The probability of getting a total of 15 when four dice are thrown.

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Determine whether the events are disjoint. Read a book by Mark Twain. Read about Tom Sawyer.

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In one method of a procedure called acceptance sampling, a sample of items is randomly selected without replacement and the entire batch is accepted if every item in the sample is ok. Among 810 airport baggage scales, 102 are defective (based on data from the NY Department of Consumer Affairs). If four of the scales are randomly selected and tested, what is the probability that the entire bath will be accepted? Is this scheme likely to detect the large number of defects?

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Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of odds

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Swinging Sammy Skor's batting prowess was simulated to get an estimate of the probability that Sammy will get a hit. Let 1 = HIT and 0 = OUT. The output from the simulation was as follows. 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Estimate the probability that he gets a hit.

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Select the correct interpretation of the probability of guessing the date of his birth, given that he told you in what month he was born. Interpret an event as significant if its probability is less than or equal to 0.05.

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