Exam 15: Multiple Regression Model Building

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Collinearity is present if the dependent variable is linearly related to one of the explanatory variables.

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One of the consequences of collinearity in multiple regression is inflated standard errors in some or all of the estimated slope coefficients.

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the Mallow's C<sub>p</sub> statistic for the model that includes X<sub>1</sub>,X<sub>5</sub> and X<sub>6</sub>? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the Mallow's Cp statistic for the model that includes X1,X5 and X6?

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,there is reason to suspect collinearity between some pairs of predictors based on the values of the variance inflationary factor. -Referring to Scenario 15-6,there is reason to suspect collinearity between some pairs of predictors based on the values of the variance inflationary factor.

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The _____ (larger/smaller)the value of the Variance Inflationary Factor,the higher is the collinearity of the X variables.

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The logarithm transformation can be used

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X<sub>2</sub> should be dropped to remove collinearity? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X2 should be dropped to remove collinearity?

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The Variance Inflationary Factor (VIF)measures the

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the model that includes X<sub>1</sub>,X<sub>3</sub>,X<sub>5</sub> and X<sub>6</sub> should be among the appropriate models using the Mallow's C<sub>p</sub> statistic. -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the model that includes X1,X3,X5 and X6 should be among the appropriate models using the Mallow's Cp statistic.

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X<sub>4</sub> should be dropped to remove collinearity? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X4 should be dropped to remove collinearity?

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As a project for his business statistics class,a student examined the factors that determined parking meter rates throughout the campus area.Data were collected for the price per hour of parking,blocks to the quadrangle,and one of the three jurisdictions: on campus,in downtown and off campus,or outside of downtown and off campus.The population regression model hypothesized is Yi = β\beta 0 + β\beta 1 X1i + β\beta 2 X 2i + β\beta 3 X3i + ε\varepsilon Where Y is the meter price X1 is the number of blocks to the quad X2 is a dummy variable that takes the value 1 if the meter is located in downtown and off campus and the value 0 otherwise X3 is a dummy variable that takes the value 1 if the meter is located outside of downtown and off campus,and the value 0 otherwise Suppose that whether the meter is located on campus is an important explanatory factor.Why should the variable that depicts this attribute not be included in the model?

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In data mining where huge data sets are being explored to discover relationships among a large number of variables,the best-subsets approach is more practical than the stepwise regression approach.

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the Mallow's C<sub>p</sub> statistic for the model that includes X<sub>1</sub>,X<sub>2</sub>,X<sub>5</sub> and X<sub>6</sub>? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the Mallow's Cp statistic for the model that includes X1,X2,X5 and X6?

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Using the Cp statistic in model building,all models with Cp ≤\le (K+1)are equally good.

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A high value of R2 significantly above 0 in multiple regression accompanied by insignificant t-values on all parameter estimates very often indicates a high correlation between independent variables in the model.

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The stepwise regression approach takes into consideration all possible models.

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Which of the following is used to find a "best" model?

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X<sub>6</sub> should be dropped to remove collinearity? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the variable X6 should be dropped to remove collinearity?

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of Edu? -Referring to Scenario 15-6,what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of Edu?

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SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R 2j )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X<sub>1</sub>),the number of years of education received (X<sub>2</sub>),the number of years at the previous job (X<sub>3</sub>),a dummy variable for marital status (X<sub>4</sub>: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X<sub>5</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X<sub>6</sub>: 1 = yes,0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( R <sup>2</sup><sub>j</sub> )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables X <sub>j </sub>as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively, 0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:    -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the model that includes X<sub>1</sub>,X<sub>2</sub>,X<sub>3</sub>,X<sub>5</sub> and X<sub>6</sub> should be selected using the adjusted r<sup>2</sup> statistic. -Referring to Scenario 15-6,the model that includes X1,X2,X3,X5 and X6 should be selected using the adjusted r2 statistic.

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