Exam 6: Interest Rates

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Assume that inflation is expected to decline steadily in the future, but that the real risk-free rate, r*, will remain constant. Which of the following statements is CORRECT, other things held constant?

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If investors expect a zero rate of inflation, then the nominal rate of return on a very short-term U.S. Treasury bond should be equal to the real risk-free rate, r*.

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Assume that the current corporate bond yield curve is upward sloping. Under this condition, then we could be sure that

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose 1-year T-bills currently yield 7.00% and the future inflation rate is expected to be constant at 3.20% per year. What is the real risk-free rate of return, r*? The cross-product term should be considered , i.e., if averaging is required, use the geometric average.

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

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The real risk-free rate is 3.05%, inflation is expected to be 2.75% this year, and the maturity risk premium is zero. Ignoring any cross-product terms, what is the equilibrium rate of return on a 1-year Treasury bond?

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The four most fundamental factors that affect the cost of money are (1) production opportunities, (2) time preferences for consumption, (3) risk, and (4) inflation.

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Kelly Inc's 5-year bonds yield 7.50% and 5-year T-bonds yield 4.90%. The real risk-free rate is r* = 2.5%, the default risk premium for Kelly's bonds is DRP = 0.40%, the liquidity premium on Kelly's bonds is LP = 2.2% versus zero on T-bonds, and the inflation premium (IP) is 1.5%. What is the maturity risk premium (MRP) on all 5-year bonds?

(Multiple Choice)
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If investors expect the rate of inflation to increase sharply in the future, then we should not be surprised to see an upward-sloping yield curve.

(True/False)
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Koy Corporation's 5-year bonds yield 7.00%, and 5-year T-bonds yield 5.15%. The real risk-free rate is r* = 3.0%, the inflation premium for 5-year bonds is IP = 1.75%, the liquidity premium for Koy's bonds is LP = 0.75% versus zero for T-bonds, and the maturity risk premium for all bonds is found with the formula MRP = (t - 1) × 0.1%, where t = number of years to maturity. What is the default risk premium (DRP) on Koy's bonds?

(Multiple Choice)
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An upward-sloping yield curve is often call a "normal" yield curve, while a downward-sloping yield curve is called "abnormal."

(True/False)
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The Federal Reserve tends to take actions to increase interest rates when the economy is very strong and to decrease rates when the economy is weak.

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Assume that the rate on a 1-year bond is now 6%, but all investors expect 1-year rates to be 7% one year from now and then to rise to 8% two years from now. Assume also that the pure expectations theory holds, hence the maturity risk premium equals zero. Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose the interest rate on a 1-year T-bond is 5.0% and that on a 2 year T-bond is 7.0%. Assuming the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market's forecast for 1-year rates 1 year from now?

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose the yield on a 10-year T-bond is currently 5.05% and that on a 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Security (TIPS) is 2.15%. Suppose further that the MRP on a 10-year T-bond is 0.90%, that no MRP is required on a TIPS, and that no liquidity premium is required on any T bond. Given this information, what is the expected rate of inflation over the next 10 years? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose the real risk-free rate is 2.50% and the future rate of inflation is expected to be constant at 4.10%. What rate of return would you expect on a 5-year Treasury security, assuming the pure expectations theory is valid? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

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Assuming the pure expectations theory is correct, which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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The risk that interest rates will decline, and that decline will lead to a decline in the income provided by a bond portfolio as interest and maturity payments are reinvested, is called "reinvestment rate risk."

(True/False)
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