Exam 20: Futures Contracts

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Briefly discuss the concept of margin in futures trading.

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The item being traded is not transferred at the time of the futures contract, so the margin is not a down payment. Instead, it is a performance bond. It is common for the margin to be in the range of two to ten percent of the value of the contract.

Assume a portfolio manager holds $2 million (par value) of 9 percent T-bonds that mature in 5 to 10 years. The current market price is 77, for a yield of 12 percent. Fearing a rise in interest rates over the next three months, the manager seeks to protect this position by hedging in futures. (a) If T-bond futures are available at 67, what is the gain or loss from a simple hedge of 20 contracts if the price three months later is 60? (b) What is the gain or loss on the cash position if the bonds are priced at 68 three months hence? (c) What is the net effect of this hedge?

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Solution: (a) Since the manager is long in the cash market, the correct hedge is a short futures position.
This problem ignores weighted hedges. The $2 \$ 2 million face value represents $2,000,000/$1000=2000 \$ 2,000,000 / \$ 1000=2000 bonds, which at a current price of 77 is worth $1,540,000 \$ 1,540,000 .
The manager sells 20 contracts at a current price of 67 , for a total transaction value of 20($67,000)=$1,340,000 20(\$ 67,000)=\$ 1,340,000 . Repurchasing the futures three months later at a price of 60 results in a total cost of 20($60,000)=$1,200,000 20(\$ 60,000)=\$ 1,200,000 .

 Beginning sale $67,000×20=$1,340,000 Ending purchase $60,000×20=1,200,000‾ Gain from short futures =$140,000\begin{array}{llll}\text { Beginning sale } \quad \$ 67,000 \times 20 & = & \$ 1,340,000 \\\text { Ending purchase } \quad \$ 60,000 \times 20 & = & \underline{1,200,000} \\\text { Gain from short futures } & = & \$ 140,000\end{array}


(b) As noted in (a), there are 2000 bonds. If the bonds are priced at 68 three months later, the cash market position is:

 Beginning: $770×2000=$1,540,000 Ending: $680×2000=$1,360,000‾ Loss from long bonds =$180,000\begin{array}{llll}\text { Beginning: } & \$ 770 \times 2000 & = & \$ 1,540,000 \\\text { Ending: } & \$ 680 \times 2000 & = & \underline{\$ 1,360,000} \\\text { Loss from long bonds }& & = & \$ 180,000\end{array}

 (c) The net effect of this hedge is a loss of $40,000. \text { (c) The net effect of this hedge is a loss of } \$ 40,000 \text {. }

 Gain from short futures =$140,000 from part (a)  Loss from long bonds =180,000 from part (b) ‾ Net loss $40,000\begin{array}{lll}\text { Gain from short futures } & = & \$ 140,000 \text { from part (a) } \\\text { Loss from long bonds } & = & \underline{180,000 \text { from part (b) }}\\\text { Net loss }&&{\$ 40,000}\end{array}

As an economic function of futures markets, what does "price discovery" mean?

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Who assumes the other side of every futures transaction?

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Which of the following variables is not established on a futures contract?

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The National Futures Association is the federal agency which regulates the futures markets.

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Which of the following represents the most popular stock-index futures position that is used to benefit from a stock market decline?

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The intermarket spread is also known as a quality spread, involving two different markets, such as buying an NYSE contract and selling an S&P contract for the same month.

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A pension fund holds $10 million in T-bonds. In order to protect against a rise in interest rate, the pension fund should use a short hedge in T-bond futures.

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Japan, which banned financial futures in 1985, is now very active in developing futures exchanges.

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Assume an investor buys one June NYSE Composite Index futures contract on May 1 at a price of 72. The position is closed out after four days. The prices on the three days after purchase were 72.5, 72.1 and 72.2. The initial margin is $3500. (a) Calculate the current equity on each of the next three days. (b) Calculate the excess equity for those three days. (c) Calculate the final gain or loss on this position.

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Approximately what percentage of futures contracts are offset prior to delivery?

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What are the methods of settling a futures contract?

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What economic functions are fulfilled by futures?

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Futures exchange members:

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Futures exchanges standardize nonstandard forward contracts, establishing such features as contract size, delivery dates, and grades that can be delivered. Only the price and number of contracts are left for futures traders to negotiate.

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Program trading generally involves positions in both stocks and stock-index futures.

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The forward price is:

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What is meant by the term "marked to market"?

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The difference between the cash price and the futures price on the same asset or commodity is known as the:

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