Exam 4: Probability

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If two events are mutually exclusive, then the two events are also independent.

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Bayes' rule is an extension of the law of conditional probabilities to allow revision of original probabilities with new information.

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A recent survey found that 24% of people in Michigan like oatmeal.If the probability that someone lives in Michigan is 4.8%.What is the probability that you choose two people in the US and they are both from Michigan?

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Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks.Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Industry Sector \text { Industry Sector } Irvestment Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P (Healthcare ∩\cap Electronics)= _______.

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Suppose that the probability that LIBOR (London inter-bank offered rate)will increase next trimester is 0.025.Assume also that the probability that your company will open a new branch overseas is 0.20.If the probability that at least one of the two events occur, i.e., LIBOR increases and/or your company opens a new overseas branch, is 0.21, what is the probability that both events occur?

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Consider the following sample space, S, and several events defined on it.S = {Albert, Betty, Abel, Jack, Patty, Meagan}, and the events are: F = {Betty, Patty, Meagan}, H = {Abel, Meagan}, and P = {Betty, Abel}.The complement of F is ___________.

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The probability that a person's favorite color is blue would be an example of a marginal probability.

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Let F be the event that a student is enrolled in a finance course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course.It is known that 40% of all students are enrolled in a finance course and 35% of all students are enrolled in statistics.Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and finance.A student is randomly selected, and it is found that the student is enrolled in finance.What is the probability that this student is also enrolled in statistics?

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If P(X|Y)= P(X)then the events are X and Y are independent.

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Your company provides services to three different industries: automotive, construction, and financial services.These services can be either on a yearly or on a monthly contract.The cross-tabulation below summarizes this information: Morthly Yearly Total Automotive 125 85 210 Construction 212 351 563 Finaricial 357 210 567 Total 694 646 1340 If a client is randomly selected, what is the likelihood that it will be from the financial industry or on a monthly contract?

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The method of assigning probabilities to uncertain outcomes based on laws and rules is called the relative frequency method.

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The list of all elementary events for an experiment is called the sample space.

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The probability of A ∪\cup B where A is receiving a state grant and B is receiving a federal grant is the probability of receiving no more than one of the two grants.

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In a set of 25 aluminum castings, four castings are defective (D), and the remaining twenty-one are good (G).A quality control inspector randomly selects three of the twenty-five castings without replacement, to test.The sample space for selecting the group to test contains ____________ elementary events.

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The CEO of Apple wanted to know the probability that someone would own an Apple computer or spend more than 20 hours each week on the internet, this would be an example of a ______________ probability.

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A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs.The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers.The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C.The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 Are "B" and "25 or older" independent and why or why not?

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Bayes' rule is a rule to assign probabilities under the relative frequency method.

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If two events are mutually exclusive, then their joint probability is always zero.

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Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks.Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Industry Sector \text { Industry Sector } Irvestment Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P (Growth)= _______.

(Multiple Choice)
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It is known that 20% of all students in some large university are overweight, 20% exercise regularly and 2% are overweight and exercise regularly.What is the probability that a randomly selected student is either overweight or exercises regularly or both?

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