Exam 13: Efficient Markets and Behavioral Finance

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Analysis of past monthly movements in IBM's stock price produces the following estimates: α = 2.5 percent and β = 1.6. If the market index subsequently rises by 12 percent in one month and IBM's stock price increases by 20 percent, what is the abnormal change in IBM's stock price?

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C

State the weak form of market efficiency and its implications.

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Security prices reflect the information contained in the record of past prices. This implies that prices will follow a random walk. It is impossible to make consistently superior profits by studying past returns.

The various lessons of market efficiency are I.markets have no memory; II.trust market prices; III.read the entrails; IV.the do-it yourself alternative; V.seen one stock, seen them all

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D

Which of the following is a statement of semistrong form efficiency? I.Stock prices will adjust immediately to public information. II.Stock prices reflect all information. III.Stock prices will adjust to newly published information after a long time delay.

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Predictable cycles in stock price movements I.tend to persist for a long time; II.tend to self-destruct as soon as investors recognize them; III.never appear, since stock returns change randomly

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Briefly explain why, in a competitive securities market, successive price changes are random.

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Which of the following statements is (are)true if the strong-form efficient market hypothesis holds? I.Analysts can easily forecast stock price changes. II.Financial markets are irrational. III.Stock returns follow a particular pattern. IV.Stock prices reflect all available information.

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If the weak form of market efficiency holds, then I.technical analysis is useless; II.stock prices reflect all information contained in past prices; III.stock price returns follow a random walk

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One important implication of the efficient markets hypothesis is that most investors

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List the three forms of market efficiency and explain the bases for them.

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The study of behavioral finance has best helped explain which of the following investor behaviors?

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Informational efficiency in financial markets results in stock prices being

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The weak form of efficient market theory implies that technical analysis is valuable.

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In a completely competitive market, security prices follow a random walk.

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Financing decisions differ from investment decisions because I.financing decisions are easier to reverse; II.markets for financial assets are generally more competitive than real asset markets; III.generally, financing decisions have NPVs very close to zero

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State the strong form of market efficiency.

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The semistrong form of efficiency focuses on the economic ineffectiveness of the following type of information:

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Stock price cycles or patterns tend to self-destruct as soon as investors recognize them through

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Weak-form efficiency implies that past stock returns

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Behavioral finance and technical analysis are basically the same theory.

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