Exam 16: Predictive Analytics Ii: Logistic Regression, Discriminate Analysis,

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Which type of predictive analytic would be used to determine whether players on a football team, either historical or future, would perform successfully or unsuccessfully in a certain position on the field?

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A ________ consists of three layers: input, hidden, and output.

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In a neural network model, the ________ is a nonlinear function of the linear predictor values.

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Define linear discriminate analysis.

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Maximum likelihood estimation is an advanced statistical procedure which provides point estimates, and it is typically

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To avoid overfitting in the neural network model, the parameter estimates that are used minimize the least squares criterion.

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In logistic regression,

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Two tests are performed. The first has a p-value of .001, the second has a p-value of .15. What does this information mean? Describe.

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Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $435,000 on their first home purchase will default. Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $435,000 on their first home purchase will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $435,000 on their first home purchase will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $435,000 on their first home purchase will default.

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Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $135,000 on their first home purchase will default. Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $135,000 on their first home purchase will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $135,000 on their first home purchase will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 1 if the customer has owned a home before and 0 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $135,000 on their first home purchase will default.

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Linear discriminate analysis does not assume that for each particular category being considered, the joint probability distribution of the predictor variables is a multivariate normal distribution.

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Consider the following model for logistic regression: P (y = 1|x, h) = g(h0 + h1x) where g(z) is the logistic function. In the preceding equation the P (y = 1|x; h) , viewed as a function of x, that we can get by changing the parameters h. What would be the range of P in such case?

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Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 0 if the customer has owned a home before and 1 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $678,700 on their first home will default. Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 0 if the customer has owned a home before and 1 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $678,700 on their first home will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 0 if the customer has owned a home before and 1 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $678,700 on their first home will default.      Below gives the data concerning (1) the dependent variable Default which equals 1 if a customer defaults on their loan and 0 if they do not; (2) the independent variable Price of Home, which is the price of the home (in tens) and (3) the independent variable First Purchase which equals 0 if the customer has owned a home before and 1 if this is their first home. Estimate the probability that a buyer who spent $678,700 on their first home will default.

(Multiple Choice)
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The penalty weight used in the neural network models controls the trade-off between overfitting and underfitting.

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The logistic regression equation involves the exponential function and it estimates the probability that an observation described by a specified set of predictor variable values will fall into a particular class.

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A major drawback of neural network modeling is that its parameters are usually uninterpretable.

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What are used to avoid overfitting in the neural network model, and are used to minimize a penalized least squares criterion?

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Squared distances can be used in two different ways in linear discriminate analysis.

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One of the very good methods to analyze the performance of logistic regression is AIC, which is similar to R-squared in Linear Regression. Which of the following is true about AIC?

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A single-layer perceptron neural network model consists of only one layer called the hidden layer.

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