Exam 15: Market Risk

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Banks are limited by regulation to using the historic or back simulation method to quantify market risk exposure.

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A charge reflecting the risk of the decline in the liquidity or credit risk quality of the trading portfolio is the general market risk capital requirement charge in the BIS framework.

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Consider the following discrete probability distributions of payoffs for 3 securities that are held in a DI's trading portfolio (payoff amounts shown are in $millions): SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Alpha 0.50 355 0.49 150 0.01 -300 SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Beta 0.50 400 0.49 150 0.0025 -300 0.0075 -3,300 SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Gamma 0.49 400 0.49 150 0.01 -150 0.01 -2.000 What are the expected returns for securities Alpha and Beta, respectively (in millions)?

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Considering the market risk of traders' portfolios for the purpose of establishing logical position limits per trader in each area of trading is a resource allocation benefit of market risk measurement.

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A major weakness of the RiskMetrics Model is the need to assume a symmetric or normal distribution of asset returns.

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In estimating price sensitivity, the RiskMetrics model prefers to use modified duration over the present value of cash flow changes.

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A disadvantage of the historic or back simulation model for quantifying market risk includes

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Price volatility is the price sensitivity of a trading position times the potential adverse move in yield.

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The partial risk factor approach incorporates the return correlations between assets held in the trading portfolio.

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Equity trading risk weights of the BIS standardized approach vary based on the industry of the stock being held and traded.

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The Volcker Rule is intended to reduce market risk at depository institutions.

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The dollar value of a foreign exchange portfolio equals the FX position times the spot exchange rate.

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The Monte Carlo simulation is a tool for considering portfolio valuation under all possible combinations of factors that determine a security's value.

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The root cause of much of the losses of FIs during the financial crisis of 2008-2009 was

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Considering the Capital Asset Pricing Model, which of the following observations is incorrect?

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The DEAR of a bank's trading portfolio has been estimated at $5,000.It is assumed that the daily earnings are independently and normally distributed. What is the 20-day VAR?

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On December 31, 2015 Historic Bank had long positions of 200,000,000 Japanese Yen and 50,000,000 Swiss Francs.The closing exchange rates were ¥92/$ and Swf1.89/$. What were the respective positions of the two currencies in dollars?

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For situations in which probability distributions exhibit fat tail losses, expected shortfall (ES) may look relatively small, but value at risk (VAR) may be very large.

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Daily earnings at risk (DEAR) is defined as the dollar value of a position times price sensitivity of that position.

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Income from trading activities of FIs is less important today than the traditional activities of banks.

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