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A Salesperson Must Choose Between a Straight Salary Of $25,000\$ 25,000

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A salesperson must choose between a straight salary of $25,000\$ 25,000 and a salary of $20,000\$ 20,000 plus a bonus of $8,000\$ 8,000 if his sales exceed a certain quota. How does he assess his probability of exceeding the quota if he chooses the lower salary with the possibility of a bonus?

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