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Use Bayes' Rule to Find the Indicated Probability

Question 18

Multiple Choice

Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability.
-In Cumberland County,55% of registered voters are Democrats,30% are Republicans and 15% are independent. During a recent election,35% of the Democrats voted,65% of the Republicans voted,and 75% of the
Independent voted.What is the probability that someone who voted is a Democrat?


A) 0.615
B) 0.55
C) 0.45
D) 0.385

Correct Answer:

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