Short Answer
Dave is use an exponential smoothing model with trends to forecast for period 5.After gathering the data, he is trying to make a decision regarding the constants.Currently, base value smoothing constant is 0.3 and the trend smoothing constant is 0.2.What is the bias difference if Dave decides to decrease the base value smoothing constant to 0.1?
The base value at the end of period 1 is 300 while the tread is -50.
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